As the 2025 NBA Draft approaches in less than a month, and free agency looms just weeks later, the Miami Heat find themselves at a critical crossroads regarding veteran sharpshooter Duncan Robinson. With a $19.9 million partially guaranteed expiring contract on the books, the Heat must soon decide whether to retain one of the franchise’s all-time best perimeter threats or pivot toward a new direction.
Robinson has been a central figure in Miami’s offense over recent years, known for his elite shooting range and ability to stretch defenses. He holds the franchise record for most 3-pointers made — a staggering 218 more than any other Heat player in history — while shooting an impressive 39.7 percent from deep. His impact goes beyond volume; Robinson became the fastest player in NBA history to reach 200, 300, 400, all the way through 1,000 made three-pointers in a career, underscoring his consistency and quick-trigger efficiency.
However, the Heat are entering a pivotal offseason. After a season plagued by injuries and playoff disappointment, the front office is likely to evaluate all avenues for improving the roster. Robinson’s contract could be a valuable trade chip or potential cap-clearing move, especially if Miami seeks to chase a major free agent or build around Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro.
At 31, Robinson remains a lethal floor-spacer with playoff experience and a deep understanding of Erik Spoelstra’s system. Whether the Heat view him as a long-term piece or expendable asset will shape much of their offseason strategy.
The decision is looming — and it could have ripple effects throughout the roster and the league as the Heat prepare for another run at contention in the ever-competitive Eastern Conference.
