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Alabama or Mississippi State? ESPN’s Model Predicts a Nail-Biting Finish!

SEC Heavyweight Battle: Alabama vs. Mississippi State Promises a Thrilling Finish

All eyes will be on Starkville Wednesday night as No. 4 Alabama and No. 14 Mississippi State square off in a highly anticipated SEC showdown. Both teams are ranked, both have championship aspirations, and both need this win to solidify their standing in the conference race.

Alabama enters the contest with a 17-3 record (6-1 SEC), looking to extend a three-game winning streak after rebounding from their lone conference loss to Ole Miss. Mississippi State, at 16-4 (4-3 SEC), is fresh off an overtime thriller against South Carolina, a much-needed victory after dropping three of their previous four.

The Bulldogs will have the home-court advantage, making them slight favorites, but ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Alabama a 53.8% chance to pull off a tough road win. The Tide have been dominant, but they’ll need to shake off lingering drama from their last game—a narrow victory over LSU where star guard Mark Sears was benched in the second half. Head coach Nate Oats insisted the move was about playing the guys who gave them the best chance to win, and both he and Sears have since cleared the air. Now, the focus is entirely on Mississippi State.

For the Bulldogs, this is one of the biggest home games of the season, and they’ll be eager to prove they can hang with the SEC’s best. After a rocky stretch, they’ll look to harness the energy of a raucous home crowd and deliver a statement win.

If ESPN’s projections hold, fans can expect a down-to-the-wire battle between two of the SEC’s top programs. Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET on SEC Network—don’t miss it!

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